
With his flurry of tariffs, government layoffs, and spending freezes, President Donald Trump seems to be stirring up more trouble for the U.S. economy than actually fixing it. The economic policy uncertainty index has shot up by a whopping 41% since January, reaching a level of 334.5 – a number that historically spells out recession. If the ongoing policy chaos and tariff battles continue, we could be looking at the first recession in five years.
The recent stock market selloff has left many questioning whether Trump’s tariffs will deliver on their promise of creating new jobs. “Markets anticipate,” says John Silvia, CEO of Dynamic Economic Strategy. “The path of tariffs is leading us down a dark alley towards higher inflation, slower economic growth, and a weaker U.S. dollar. It’s like watching an economic horror movie in slow motion.”
And the plot thickens – more tariffs are on the horizon for Europe on April 2, potentially sparking a trade war with a continent the U.S. once helped rebuild after World War II. South Korea, India, and Brazil could also find themselves in the crosshairs of new tariffs.
Businesses are feeling the heat too, with increased economic uncertainty and worries about the impact of tariffs. The Fed’s New York branch reported that businesses are becoming less optimistic about the future.
It’s becoming increasingly clear that Trump’s economic policies are steering us towards a downturn, and it seems like he may be doing more harm than good for the U.S. economy.








